Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 53.4 | $0.562 | $29.1 | -$0.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 22.7 | $0.660 | $14.98 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 56.2 |
| $0.442 |
| $21.92 |
| -$2.9 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 25 | $0.600 | $17.63 | +$2.63 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 17.89 | $0.840 | $17.56 | +$2.53 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 17.55 | $0.640 | $17.42 | +$6.19 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 22.4 | $0.670 | $16.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | Yes | 16.7 | $0.900 | $16.2 | +$1.17 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 18.45 | $0.610 | $16.05 | +$4.8 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | Yes | 18.8 | $0.800 | $15.89 | +$0.85 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 24.6 | $0.610 | $15.87 | +$0.86 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 23.8 | $0.630 | $15.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 20.17 | $0.790 | $15.63 | -$0.31 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 66.39 | $0.372 | $15.6 | -$9.13 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 19.7 | $0.760 | $15.44 | +$0.47 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 19.2 | $0.780 | $15.26 | +$0.29 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 18.1 | $0.830 | $15.11 | +$0.09 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 21.1 | $0.710 | $14.88 | -$0.11 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 29.4 | $0.510 | $14.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 28.8 | $0.520 | $14.83 | -$0.14 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 23.1 | $0.650 | $14.78 | -$0.23 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 17 | $0.880 | $14.75 | -$0.21 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 22.7 | $0.660 | $14.64 | -$0.34 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 18.8 | $0.800 | $14.57 | -$0.47 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20.3 | $0.740 | $14.31 | -$0.71 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 24.6 | $0.610 | $14.27 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 28.8 |
| $0.520 |
| $14.98 |
| 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 29.4 | $0.510 | $14.99 | 3d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.770 | $6.31 | 6d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 15.9 | $0.820 | $13.04 | 6d ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 19.2 | $0.610 | $11.71 | 6d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | sell | 6.94 | $0.670 | $4.65 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown | sell | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | sell | 1.53 | $0.930 | $1.42 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 9d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 24 | $0.625 | $15 | 11d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 25.9 | $0.580 | $15.02 | 11d ago |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 16d ago |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.116 | $1.5 | 17d ago |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.180 | $1.55 | 22d ago |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.140 | $1.55 | 24d ago |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 54.5 | $0.280 | $15.26 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.960 | $1.92 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.095 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | sell | 129.03 | $0.880 | $113.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.097 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.077 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.033 | $4.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Istanbul 2: Anastasia Gasanova vs Susan BandecchiAnastasia Gasanova | buy | 13.9 | $0.720 | $10.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp | buy | 30.34 | $0.890 | $27 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.930 | $3.72 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 30.32 | $0.940 | $28.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 30.33 | $0.920 | $27.9 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 30 | $0.860 | $25.8 | Jul 9, 2026 |