Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 2h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $3.82 | -$6.18 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.031 | $1.35 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.180 |
| $6 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?Yes | buy | 260.54 | $0.077 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 61.78 | $0.081 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.360 | $24 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No | buy | 17.99 | $0.278 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?No | sell | 37.5 | $0.910 | $34.13 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No | buy | 25.24 | $0.220 | $5.55 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.340 | $5.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.002 | $12 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 176.09 | $0.230 | $40.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.390 | $6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.99 | $0.222 | $6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iraq next?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.008 | $15 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 493.55 | $0.019 | $9.25 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.007 | $30 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.014 | $29.86 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.007 | $12 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 493.55 | $0.041 | $20 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.028 | $60 | Jan 25, 2026 |