Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.094 |
| $3.76 |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | buy | 733 | $0.900 | $659.7 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?No | sell | 759 | $0.610 | $462.99 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?No | sell | 291.8 | $0.952 | $277.68 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?No | sell | 191 | $0.796 | $152.12 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in August?No | sell | 116 | $0.914 | $106.06 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 298 | $0.010 | $2.98 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 179 | $0.820 | $146.78 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.34K | $0.700 | $3.74K | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by October meeting?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.826 | $55.31 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 404.79 | $0.610 | $246.92 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.61 | $0.630 | $31.25 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?No | sell | 300 | $0.959 | $287.7 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?No | buy | 247 | $0.470 | $116.09 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.051 | $4.27 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?No | buy | 52.86 | $0.957 | $50.59 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 591 | $0.550 | $325.05 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 261 | $0.960 | $250.57 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 112 | $0.600 | $67.2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?No | sell | 214.01 | $0.951 | $203.51 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 21 | $0.600 | $12.6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.090 | $15.39 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.120 | $125.02 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.140 | $268.38 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.66K | $0.790 | $1.31K | Jun 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 84 | $0.560 | $47.04 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.450 | $4.95 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 213.97 | $0.210 | $44.93 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 779 | $0.405 | $315.39 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 130 | $0.560 | $72.8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 7.08K | $0.100 | $708.46 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 81 | $0.720 | $58.32 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.150 | $3.6 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.160 | $231.26 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 684 | $0.770 | $526.68 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 359 | $0.500 | $179.5 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 710 | $0.540 | $383.4 | Jun 5, 2025 |