Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 53.88 | $0.320 | $17.24 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 13.12 |
| $0.510 |
| $6.69 |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 260.4 | $0.092 | $23.93 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 260.41 | $0.110 | $28.72 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 271.25 | $0.313 | $84.78 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 273.47 | $0.510 | $139.47 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 233.28 | $0.995 | $232.08 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 28.69 | $0.976 | $28 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.991 | $19.52 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.330 | $21.45 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | sell | 80 | $0.410 | $32.8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.350 | $92.75 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 288.47 | $0.640 | $184.62 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 288.48 | $0.690 | $199.05 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 15?No | buy | 246.55 | $0.811 | $200 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.840 | $3.53 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 183.97 | $0.900 | $165.57 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 0.88 | $0.850 | $0.75 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.670 | $6.97 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 371.76 | $0.944 | $350.91 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | sell | 379.92 | $0.924 | $350.91 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No | buy | 379.93 | $0.951 | $361.2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 World Series WinnerBlue Jays | buy | 272.73 | $0.440 | $120 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 752.97 | $0.810 | $609.91 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| World Series WinnerBlue Jays | buy | 172.49 | $0.680 | $117.29 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | sell | 250.98 | $0.818 | $205.29 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 889.02 | $0.844 | $750.24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.628 | $750.24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 483.23 | $0.674 | $325.53 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?No | sell | 338.59 | $0.961 | $325.53 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 712.26 | $0.663 | $472.43 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | sell | 477.59 | $0.989 | $472.44 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | sell | 219.43 | $0.830 | $182.13 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | sell | 123.63 | $0.860 | $106.32 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | buy | 343.06 | $0.780 | $267.59 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Magomedov vs. PyferMagomedov | buy | 21.69 | $0.350 | $7.59 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Ankalaev vs. PereiraAnkalaev | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Emmett vs. ZalalZalal | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Santos vs. YooYoo | buy | 66.67 | $0.450 | $30 | Oct 5, 2025 |