Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 15.01 | $0.734 | $11.02 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.130 |
| $3.9 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 30 | $0.138 | $4.14 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.404 | $20.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 68.4 | $0.731 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 1.38K | $0.002 | $2.76 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 13.33 | $0.130 | $1.73 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?Yes | sell | 31.33 | $0.005 | $0.17 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.012 | $0.28 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.006 | $0.21 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.026 | $0.37 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.003 | $3.19 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Hunter Biden sentenced to 1-5 months in gun case?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.074 | $1.45 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 37.73 | $0.046 | $1.74 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.003 | $5.27 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.096 | $3.13 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.050 | $2.14 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 2.91K | $0.006 | $17.47 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20.49 | $0.330 | $6.76 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.090 | $10.71 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 2.82K | $0.009 | $25.38 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 41.32 | $0.216 | $8.93 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | sell | 43.3 | $0.380 | $16.45 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 2.31K | $0.009 | $20.75 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.500 | $6.76 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 5.83K | $0.007 | $40.82 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 383 | $0.007 | $2.68 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | sell | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.092 | $3 | Oct 27, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "frack" or "fracking" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 37.74 | $0.053 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Trans" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 24.76 | $0.202 | $5 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Trans" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Oct 15, 2024 |