Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? | No | 20.18 | $0.991 | $19.77 | -$0.23 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.982 | $4.72 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.04 |
| $0.991 |
| $3.93 |
| -$0.07 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 7.61 | $0.920 | $2.02 | -$4.98 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.938 | $0.84 | -$1.16 |
| buy |
| 5.05 |
| $0.990 |
| $5 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
 Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton StearnsAryna Sabalenka | buy | 10.39 | $0.960 | $9.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria SnigurIga Swiatek | buy | 8.26 | $0.967 | $7.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 24?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.950 | $4.97 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 24?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.972 | $3.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 24?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.900 | $3.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 24?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.979 | $2.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on April 24?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.968 | $6.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 24?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 24?No | buy | 11.86 | $0.920 | $10.91 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 58.48 | $0.981 | $57.37 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 7.05 | $0.996 | $7.02 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.962 | $4.16 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.900 | $4.68 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.860 | $3.72 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.938 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Clemson Tigers vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)Clemson Tigers | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.992 | $7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 58.49 | $0.980 | $57.32 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.920 | $9.68 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?No | buy | 23.28 | $0.988 | $23 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.910 | $21 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.991 | $4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.957 | $6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 125.51 | $0.998 | $125.26 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | buy | 13.03 | $0.998 | $13 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?No | buy | 18.15 | $0.992 | $18 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 23.18 | $0.863 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 24.42 | $0.860 | $21 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | buy | 50.88 | $0.570 | $29 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | buy | 58.92 | $0.560 | $33 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 13.54 | $0.960 | $13 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.933 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 74°F or higher on May 28?No | buy | 5.06K | $0.996 | $5.04K | May 28, 2025 |