Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 10K | $0.490 | $7.15K | +$2.25K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.220 | $2.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $8.35 |
| -$0.15 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.160 | $1.65 | +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.340 | $0.16 | -$0.19 |
| buy |
| 10.27 |
| $0.220 |
| $2.26 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.220 | $2.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.220 | $2.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.220 | $2.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.220 | $2.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.219 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.219 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.219 | $2.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.26 | $0.219 | $4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.219 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.219 | $2.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.219 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.219 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.219 | $2.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09K | $0.150 | $763.65 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.150 | $1.5K | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.260 | $2.6K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.260 | $2.6K | May 26, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 5, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | May 5, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.032 | $0.32 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 21.78K | $0.358 | $7.8K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 281.68K | $0.026 | $7.27K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 270.33K | $0.028 | $7.61K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 132.93K | $0.023 | $3K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 13.64K | $0.340 | $4.64K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 34.82K | $0.330 | $11.49K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.340 | $2.04 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Apr 1, 2026 |