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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 800 | $0.500 | $402 | +$2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.84 | $0.984 | $50 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 800 |
| $0.500 |
| $398 |
| -$2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 151.52 | $0.660 | $118.94 | +$18.94 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 101.15 | $0.989 | $99.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 72.35 | $0.968 | $70.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.84 | $0.984 | $49.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 33.98 | $0.883 | $31.55 | +$1.55 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 31.19 | $0.962 | $30.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 32.61 | $0.920 | $28.86 | -$1.14 |
| buy |
| 32.61 |
| $0.920 |
| $30 |
| 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | buy | 101.15 | $0.989 | $100 | 7d ago |
 Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-09-01?No | buy | 52 | $0.962 | $50 | 8d ago |
 LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid | buy | 175.58 | $0.968 | $170 | 10d ago |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | 12d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.87 | $0.939 | $60 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 244.68 | $0.993 | $242.97 | 12d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 275.84 | $0.997 | $275.01 | 12d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 72.55 | $0.965 | $70 | 15d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 203.3 | $0.984 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 22.25 | $0.899 | $20 | 17d ago |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 201.57 | $0.971 | $195.81 | 19d ago |
 Will Micron (MU) close above $700 end of August?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.990 | $30 | 21d ago |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 201.58 | $0.992 | $200 | 21d ago |
 New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | sell | 301.2 | $0.996 | $300 | 21d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 301.2 | $0.996 | $300 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 37.97 | $0.930 | $35.31 | 29d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?Yes | sell | 254.01 | $0.997 | $253.25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?Yes | buy | 254.01 | $0.984 | $250 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Radu Mihai PapoeRadu Mihai Papoe | buy | 37.1 | $0.809 | $30 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 138.3 | $0.940 | $130 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 6?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.890 | $30 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsSU Esports | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Honor of Kings: Kuaishou Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO7) - Honor of Kings World Cup PlayoffsKuaishou Gaming | buy | 40.57 | $0.986 | $40 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola BartunkovaNikola Bartunkova | buy | 45.3 | $0.883 | $40 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 37.97 | $0.790 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.98 | $0.883 | $30 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ | buy | 26.1 | $0.766 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 313.81 | $0.956 | $300 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 532.34 | $0.998 | $531.28 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 223.2 | $0.896 | $200 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageHANJIN BRION | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 40.79 | $0.981 | $40 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 31.53 | $0.951 | $30 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 203.05 | $0.985 | $200 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 238.12 | $0.966 | $230 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 50.61 | $0.988 | $50 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream | buy | 312.46 | $0.960 | $300 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets | buy | 110.11 | $0.999 | $110 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 102.56 | $0.996 | $102.15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 210.21 | $0.999 | $210 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 203.9 | $0.981 | $200 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 210.21 | $0.999 | $210 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Jul 17, 2026 |