Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.280 | $242.5 | -$37.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 13d ago |
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| No |
| 200 |
| $0.900 |
| $181 |
| +$1 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 999.98 | $0.100 | $115 | +$15 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 700 | $0.055 | $92.75 | +$54.25 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $88.5 | +$2.5 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.060 | $87.5 | +$27.5 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.320 | $87.37 | +$7.43 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.870 | $86.5 | -$0.5 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.804 | $49.08 | +$8.88 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.190 | $17.5 | -$1.5 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.300 | $15 | -$15 |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 999.98 | $0.015 | $6.5 | -$8.5 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.293 | $6 | -$8.67 |
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $5.5 | -$14.5 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $3.75 | -$8.25 |
Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1? | Yes | 34 | $0.050 | $0.9 | -$0.8 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1.09 | $0.080 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.008 |
| $0.8 |
| 13d ago |
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.070 | $4.2 | 13d ago |
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stageex-RUSTEC | sell | 250 | $0.890 | $222.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.427 | $64.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.124 | $30.89 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.630 | $47.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | buy | 6.4 | $0.148 | $0.95 | Jul 19, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.090 | $22.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.600 | $36 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | sell | 55.5 | $0.072 | $4.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.45 | $0.640 | $4.77 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.720 | $108 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 895.29 | $0.100 | $89.53 | Jun 30, 2026 |
France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.046 | $9.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | buy | 6.73 | $0.743 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 150 | $0.079 | $11.81 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.084 | $16.8 | May 21, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.939 | $187.79 | May 20, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.313 | $6.26 | May 12, 2026 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.930 | $139.5 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 226.3 | $0.044 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 134.04 | $0.296 | $39.61 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.120 | $0.69 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.190 | $1.05 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?Yes | buy | 13.62 | $0.080 | $1.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?No | sell | 21.95 | $0.734 | $16.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.909 | $9.01 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?No | buy | 15.49 | $0.943 | $14.61 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 11?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.430 | $2.03 | Apr 10, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.114 | $22.8 | Apr 9, 2026 |