Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 110.24 | $0.800 | $106.11 | +$17.91 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.993 | $32.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 35.96 |
| $0.970 |
| $35.26 |
| +$0.38 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 24 | $0.906 | $23.09 | +$1.34 |
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 40 | $0.420 | $15 | -$1.8 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | $0.680 | $12.75 | -$7.65 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.6 | $0.900 | $11.54 | +$1.1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10 | $0.450 | $4.98 | +$0.48 |
 Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | Yes | 190.99 | $0.010 | $2.86 | +$0.95 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40 | $0.035 | $1.38 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 55.28 |
| $0.100 |
| $5.53 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.6 | $0.900 | $10.44 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 33 | $0.997 | $32.9 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.975 | $15.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.460 | $10.58 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 31 | $0.996 | $30.88 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 65.84 | $0.993 | $65.38 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 24 | $0.906 | $21.74 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 311.6 | $0.004 | $1.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.993 | $37.73 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 28 | $0.987 | $27.64 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.979 | $21.54 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 220.48 | $0.800 | $176.38 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 53 | $0.994 | $52.68 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 65.34 | $0.200 | $13.07 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 840.23 | $0.002 | $1.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.982 | $39.29 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.979 | $25.45 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 20 | $0.951 | $19.02 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 19.84 | $0.985 | $19.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.960 | $33.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Token Launch Party ParlayNo | buy | 32.53 | $0.995 | $32.37 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 38.53 | $0.965 | $37.18 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.570 | $7.41 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?No | buy | 27.48 | $0.967 | $26.57 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.978 | $25.54 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.964 | $21.21 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.21 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 25.23 | $0.991 | $25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.967 | $29 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 US national XRP reserve in 2025?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.985 | $54.73 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.26 | $0.993 | $12.17 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.990 | $16.83 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.963 | $23.11 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.994 | $13.92 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.940 | $25.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.130 | $4.29 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.760 | $19 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 34 | $0.920 | $31.28 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.059 | $1.77 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.022 | $1.98 | Jul 25, 2025 |