Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.008 | $0.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.07K |
| $0.060 |
| $64.2 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.120 | $64.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 107 | $0.610 | $65.27 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 530 | $0.120 | $63.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.995 | $3.08 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 547.17 | $0.110 | $60.19 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 107 | $0.590 | $63.13 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.330 | $2.67 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.978 | $3.19 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.991 | $3.09 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.190 | $4.58 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.995 | $3.07 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.130 | $2.44 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 37.73 | $0.043 | $1.62 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.958 | $2.95 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.997 | $3.02 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.987 | $3.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNothing | sell | 3.12 | $0.976 | $3.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.995 | $3.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.950 | $3.07 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.930 | $3.16 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.985 | $3.07 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.974 | $3.08 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.777 | $3.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.989 | $3.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.965 | $3.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.961 | $3.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | sell | 4.28 | $0.983 | $4.21 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.986 | $3.05 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.780 | $2.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.985 | $2.09 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 96.15 | $0.022 | $2.14 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.750 | $2.64 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.490 | $2.67 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.830 | $2.92 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.590 | $2.85 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.910 | $2.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No | sell | 3.11 | $0.962 | $2.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.860 | $2.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.232 | $0.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 28.05 | $0.032 | $0.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.031 | $0.31 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.007 | $0.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.090 | $0.27 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.990 | $3.09 | Jun 22, 2026 |