Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 130.32 | $0.767 | $106.21 | +$6.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.860 | $25 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 121.95 |
| $0.820 |
| $106.1 |
| +$6.1 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 113.64 | $0.880 | $103.98 | +$3.98 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 62.5 | $0.800 | $57.19 | +$7.19 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $28.47 | +$3.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $28.44 | +$3.44 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $27.97 | +$2.97 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $27.81 | +$2.81 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $27.34 | +$2.34 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $27.03 | +$2.03 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $26.72 | +$1.72 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $26.72 | +$1.72 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 30.86 | $0.810 | $26.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $26.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $26.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25.78 | +$0.78 |
 Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Grüne win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 29.07 | $0.860 | $24.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $24.84 | -$0.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $24.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | No | 29.76 | $0.840 | $23.36 | -$1.64 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $22.34 | -$2.66 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 31.25 | $0.800 | $21.09 | -$3.91 |
| sell |
| 21.25 |
| $0.670 |
| $14.24 |
| 17h ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 17h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 18h ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.650 | $20.31 | 20h ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.86 | $0.810 | $25 | 10d ago |
 Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.560 | $17.5 | 10d ago |
| Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 15d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 27.26 | $0.980 | $26.71 | 15d ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 16d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.640 | $0.16 | 16d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | sell | 31 | $0.650 | $20.15 | 16d ago |
 Will Héctor Javier Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.460 | $14.38 | 17d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Will Héctor Javier Santana García win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 20d ago |
 Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.560 | $17.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 20d ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 55.72 | $0.700 | $39 | 20d ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 26d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.980 | $30.63 | 26d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.980 | $30.63 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.620 | $19.38 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.990 | $11.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?No | sell | 25.9 | $0.620 | $16.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.620 | $3.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.980 | $30.63 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 20.86 | $0.580 | $12.1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.580 | $18.13 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.650 | $0.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?No | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 116.98 | $0.754 | $88.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.650 | $20.31 | Jul 25, 2026 |