Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.05 |
| $0.989 |
| $4.99 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.993 | $4.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.997 | $5.02 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 27?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 27?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on March 27?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on March 27?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will "Sullivan's Crossing" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2025?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.980 | $4.93 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by less than 24% in January 2026?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.948 | $4.78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by less than 24% in January 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the February decision?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.990 | $5.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in March 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.996 | $6.97 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.01 | $0.996 | $7.98 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with King Mohammed VI of Morocco in January 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |