Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by August 22?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.997 | $15.4 | 26d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 15.36 |
| $0.996 |
| $15.3 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 53.16 | $0.997 | $53 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 443.03 | $0.005 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?Yes | buy | 55.05 | $0.999 | $54.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 21?Yes | buy | 55.05 | $0.999 | $54.99 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 32.03 | $0.999 | $32 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 13-19?Yes | buy | 275.52 | $0.003 | $0.86 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?No | buy | 23.02 | $0.999 | $23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 14?No | buy | 56.05 | $0.999 | $55.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?No | buy | 56.05 | $0.999 | $55.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.991 | $55 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?Yes | buy | 55.05 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.22 | $0.996 | $55 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 7?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $120 February 9-15?No | buy | 54.11 | $0.998 | $54 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?No | buy | 54.22 | $0.996 | $54 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.967 | $1.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.26 | $0.950 | $24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 22.89 | $0.961 | $22 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.33 | $0.982 | $18 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?Yes | buy | 53.05 | $0.999 | $53 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 11?No | buy | 53.05 | $0.999 | $53 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 8?Yes | buy | 42.04 | $0.999 | $42 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 8?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?Yes | buy | 56.06 | $0.999 | $56 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 27?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 20?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.999 | $55 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 19?No | buy | 48.24 | $0.995 | $48 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 16?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?Yes | buy | 52.05 | $0.999 | $52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 6?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |