Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.21 | $0.280 | $4.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.38 |
| $0.420 |
| $1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.089 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.065 | $2.28 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.810 | $4.87 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.63 | $0.131 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.390 | $9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.1 | $0.091 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 63.1 | $0.396 | $25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.008 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.009 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.940 | $2.2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.400 | $3.2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?No | sell | 100 | $0.032 | $3.2 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.998 | $3.6 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.954 | $5.07 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.995 | $12.13 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.130 | $4.64 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | sell | 25.38 | $0.620 | $15.74 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.630 | $15.99 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.130 | $14.3 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 84.23 | $0.300 | $25.27 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 11.68 | $0.170 | $1.99 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.860 | $34.86 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 5.77 | $0.100 | $0.58 | Feb 23, 2025 |