Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.349 | $28 | Mar 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.280 |
| $20 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Another Canada election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.034 | $4 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.080 | $9 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
California redistricting referendum passes?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 4.29K | $0.002 | $9 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.329 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 26.3 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNo | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 29.56 | $0.338 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 66.31 | $0.302 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 286.05 | $0.017 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.008 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 339.99 | $0.029 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?No | buy | 51.58 | $0.194 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.097 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |