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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.922 | $1.04 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.92 |
| $0.860 |
| $1.65 |
| Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.860 | $2.09 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.955 | $2.44 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.910 | $3.25 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested before September?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Bill Ackman endorse Eric Adams?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Biden seen in public before August?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before August?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk before August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander’s vote share be between 9% and 12% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?No | buy | 74.03 | $0.810 | $60 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?No | buy | 282.44 | $0.708 | $200 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.505 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high before October?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 13.25 | $0.075 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Khotin before August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before July?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| US kicks trans members out of military before August?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?Yes | buy | 18.7 | $0.053 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |