Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 32.75 | $0.916 | $31.29 | +$1.29 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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MartinMwa is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #172,688 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$214.29 observed lifetime PnL, 82 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6cdf13cc2ccc3f7c08e28fad7ca8b8ec05f612d4
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 10.44 |
| $0.958 |
| $10.18 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.39 | $0.927 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 203.9 | $0.005 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | +$0 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 3.92 |
| $0.510 |
| $2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | sell | 831.66 | $0.998 | $830 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?No | sell | 6.08 | $0.660 | $4.01 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?No | sell | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.247 | $2.19 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?No | sell | 150 | $0.471 | $70.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.690 | $2.22 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?No | sell | 68.19 | $0.411 | $28.04 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.530 | $5.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.300 | $9.52 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?No | sell | 7.32 | $0.460 | $3.37 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 214.49 | $0.263 | $56.42 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?No | buy | 33 | $0.770 | $25.41 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?No | buy | 19.9 | $0.680 | $13.53 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?No | buy | 12 | $0.610 | $7.32 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.450 | $6.75 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 81.95 | $0.530 | $43.43 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.440 | $0.93 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?No | sell | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.430 | $0.79 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?Yes | sell | 260.02 | $0.488 | $126.89 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.530 | $8.64 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?No | sell | 123.2 | $0.492 | $60.57 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 11.32 | $0.550 | $6.23 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?No | sell | 48.15 | $0.440 | $21.19 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 114.36 | $0.467 | $53.44 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?No | sell | 11.55 | $0.380 | $4.39 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.580 | $6.9 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 41.29 | $0.560 | $23.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 4?No | sell | 33.07 | $0.520 | $17.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No | sell | 21.19 | $0.390 | $8.26 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.440 | $1.32 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?No | sell | 32.79 | $0.400 | $13.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 4?No | sell | 49.58 | $0.360 | $17.85 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 178 | $0.509 | $90.59 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130.05 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 7.91 | $0.520 | $4.11 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 4?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.620 | $2.33 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.500 | $0.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 4?No | sell | 11.28 | $0.400 | $4.51 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 831.66 | $0.998 | $830 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.88K | $0.168 | $988.23 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88K | $0.170 | $1K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.981 | $999.99 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.981 | $1K | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.