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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.540 | $1.21K | +$397.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 121.51 | $0.770 | $93.56 | 6d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.37K |
| $0.730 |
| $968.94 |
| -$34.34 |
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 500 | $0.780 | $447.5 | +$57.5 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 520 | $0.435 | $273 | +$47 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 250 | $0.830 | $249.88 | +$42.38 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.770 | $193.75 | +$1.25 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.330 | $25 | -$41 |
| buy |
| 52.33 |
| $0.330 |
| $17.27 |
| 7d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.540 | $810 | 27d ago |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.158 | $158.05 | 29d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.470 | $564 | 29d ago |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.620 | $852.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.830 | $207.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.780 | $1.56K | Jul 28, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.670 | $167.49 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.560 | $672 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.850 | $119 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.560 | $279.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2K | $0.841 | $1.68K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.900 | $1.8K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 784.99 | $0.300 | $235.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.310 | $4.03 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 979.98 | $0.302 | $295.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.540 | $550.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.570 | $285 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 307.99 | $0.959 | $295.36 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 253 | $0.990 | $250.47 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 94 | $0.930 | $87.42 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.570 | $6.27 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 600 | $0.720 | $432 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 600 | $0.996 | $597.63 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.770 | $924 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.830 | $103.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 799.99 | $0.680 | $543.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.450 | $54 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.866 | $108.26 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 600 | $0.966 | $579.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.26 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 500 | $0.790 | $395 | Jun 2, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.990 | $297 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 700 | $0.760 | $532 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 215.3 | $0.912 | $196.35 | May 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | May 27, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.678 | $18.58 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | May 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 23.3 | $0.902 | $21.02 | May 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.368 | $183.85 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.017 | $5.1 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.58 | $0.650 | $40.03 | May 23, 2026 |