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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.02 |
| $0.971 |
| $0.99 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.962 | $0.97 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.963 | $0.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.977 | $0.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will BILIBILI GAMING Qualify for Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.950 | $0.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.961 | $0.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will BILIBILI GAMING Qualify for Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.981 | $0.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.983 | $0.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.958 | $0.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.971 | $0.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Fred Wellman be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.971 | $0.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.983 | $0.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.978 | $0.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.973 | $0.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.983 | $0.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.961 | $0.97 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.960 | $0.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.963 | $0.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.961 | $0.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.947 | $0.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.950 | $0.97 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.964 | $0.98 | Jul 20, 2026 |
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.955 | $0.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |