Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 45.45 | $0.440 | $29.77 | +$9.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | 7d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 18 |
| $0.470 |
| $9.99 |
| +$1.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.6 | $0.810 | $7.44 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 13.02 | $0.464 | $7.1 | +$1.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.5 | $0.440 | $4.12 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.58 | $0.430 | $3.83 | +$0.57 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.400 | $2.77 | -$0.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.230 | $1.52 | -$0.32 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.540 | $1.36 | +$0.22 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 12.75 | $0.240 | $1.34 | -$1.72 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $0.84 | -$0.41 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7 | $0.310 | $0.53 | -$1.64 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.51 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 2.11 |
| $0.540 |
| $1.14 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | 17d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.770 | $4.82 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | 26d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | 28d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | 28d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.400 | $1.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.320 | $1.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 19.88 | $0.510 | $10.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.583 | $1.77 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.650 | $2.97 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.502 | $4.59 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 30.19 | $0.670 | $20.23 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.755 | $4.94 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 15.23 | $0.650 | $9.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.350 | $2.59 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 13.17 | $0.760 | $10.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | Jul 16, 2026 |