Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 35.45 | $0.846 | $34.3 | +$4.3 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| No |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $22.31 |
| +$2.31 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.81 | $0.961 | $20.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20.35 | +$0.35 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $19.66 | -$0.34 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 13.51 | $0.740 | $12.23 | +$2.23 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11 | +$1 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4.19 | +$0.19 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 8.33 | $0.600 | $3.87 | -$1.13 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 183.09 | $0.109 | $3.39 | -$16.61 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.77 | $0.130 | $2 | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No| buy |
| 10.64 |
| $0.940 |
| $10 |
| May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?No | buy | 20.91 | $0.957 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?No | buy | 20.26 | $0.987 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 67.01 | $0.730 | $48.92 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.798 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.763 | $9.76 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 183.09 | $0.109 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $170?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.901 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 3?Yes | buy | 12.87 | $0.760 | $9.78 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.860 | $4.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.736 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will "Shit" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 29.12 | $0.687 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.644 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 175.72 | $0.848 | $148.98 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.860 | $11 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16?No | buy | 28.63 | $0.830 | $23.76 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | buy | 56.47 | $0.850 | $48 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.832 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.859 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |