Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.85 | $0.710 | $8.91 | +$1.92 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 15 |
| $0.490 |
| $8.18 |
| +$0.83 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.16 | $0.710 | $7.98 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.9 | $0.390 | $6.39 | +$1.35 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.23 | $0.520 | $5.32 | -$1.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 11 | $0.410 | $3.8 | -$0.71 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 9.09 | $0.240 | $3.68 | +$1.5 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9 | $0.290 | $3.2 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.57 | $0.250 | $1.94 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.560 | $1.61 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.39 | -$0.11 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 7.5 | $0.210 | $1.2 | -$0.38 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 2.39 | $0.590 | $1.06 | -$0.35 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.87 | -$0.45 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.270 |
| $2.7 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.400 | $3.16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.290 | $2.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.86 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.229 | $2.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.740 | $8.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.420 | $1.43 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.530 | $1.89 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.590 | $1.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.630 | $7.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.680 | $5.52 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.490 | $7.35 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.07 | $0.258 | $2.34 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.560 | $1.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?Down | buy | 8.63 | $0.510 | $4.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Steve Jurvetson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.240 | $1.86 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.274 | $3.08 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.720 | $1.46 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.23 | $0.520 | $6.36 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 9 | $0.290 | $2.61 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.778 | $6.32 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 8.5 | $0.340 | $2.89 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.390 | $4.68 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.88 | $0.250 | $1.97 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.250 | $2.63 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | May 15, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?Down | buy | 11.22 | $0.500 | $5.61 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.580 | $7.08 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | May 10, 2026 |