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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 59.75K | $0.018 | $1.08K | May 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.58K |
| $0.019 |
| $30 |
| May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.020 | $30 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.73K | $0.019 | $32.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 894.11 | $0.019 | $17.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.35K | $0.023 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.35K | $0.023 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.022 | $4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.025 | $50 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.08K | $0.026 | $80 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.300 | $59.99 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 131 | $0.025 | $3.28 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 38.12 | $0.340 | $12.96 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.018 | $2.5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.89K | $0.020 | $197.86 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.032 | $70 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 188.08 | $0.026 | $4.89 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.65K | $0.027 | $476.63 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.23K | $0.002 | $52.46 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.050 | $52.47 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.72K | $0.007 | $96.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13K | $0.008 | $104 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.004 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 499.96 | $0.300 | $149.99 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.5K | $0.008 | $132 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.581 | $348.63 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.008 | $15.85 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.3K | $0.019 | $119.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.019 | $60.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 166.77 | $0.330 | $55.03 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 802.29 | $0.970 | $778.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 797.71 | $0.790 | $630.19 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 4.58 | $0.720 | $3.3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 181.74 | $0.017 | $3.09 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.68K | $0.019 | $507 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.025 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.049 | $50 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.062 | $50 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 752.37 | $0.066 | $50 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 451.13 | $0.133 | $60 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.064 | $64 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 421 | $0.018 | $7.58 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.88 | $0.018 | $2.05 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20K | $0.034 | $680 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.77K | $0.021 | $100 | Mar 28, 2026 |