Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.170 | $2.5 | Dec 19, 2023 |
 |
| sell |
| 0.18 |
| $0.490 |
| $0.09 |
| Dec 11, 2023 |
 Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.540 | $0.11 | Dec 4, 2023 |
 American aid to Israel by Dec 31?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.520 | $0.12 | Dec 4, 2023 |
 [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.820 | $1.03 | Dec 4, 2023 |
 OpenSea token by May 1?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 4, 2023 |
 OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.590 | $0.1 | Dec 4, 2023 |
 Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.760 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| American aid to Israel by Dec 31?No | buy | 0.24 | $0.420 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.460 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.190 | $0.1 | Nov 27, 2023 |
 Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.034 | $0.08 | Nov 26, 2023 |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?No | sell | 25 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Nov 26, 2023 |
 USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.500 | $0.15 | Nov 26, 2023 |
| [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.039 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will Tucker interview Putin?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.029 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.330 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 SBF sentenced to life?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.045 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 [Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.190 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 [Single Market] Will Kari Lake win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.240 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?No | buy | 0.25 | $0.400 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?Yes | buy | 0.29 | $0.340 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.840 | $0.5 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)No | buy | 3.03 | $0.033 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.700 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?Yes | buy | 0.5 | $0.200 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 OpenAI board out by end of week?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.083 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will 'The Marvels' flop?No | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.320 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.220 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.027 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 American aid to Israel by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.049 | $0.05 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?No | buy | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.043 | $0.1 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.150 | $0.2 | Nov 24, 2023 |
 Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Nov 24, 2023 |