Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 304.88 | $0.984 | $302.59 | +$2.59 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 216.22 |
| $0.925 |
| $207.9 |
| +$7.89 |
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 104.17 | $0.960 | $101.82 | +$1.82 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100.26 | +$0.26 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 50 | $0.600 | $41.75 | +$11.75 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.780 | $34.42 | +$4.42 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 14.04 | $0.712 | $13.31 | +$3.31 |
| Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.550 | $8.41 | +$3.41 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 8.21 | $0.609 | $7.76 | +$2.76 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.46 | -$0.54 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 2.82 | $0.970 | $2.73 | -$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 11.49 |
| $0.870 |
| $10 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.719 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | buy | 84.18 | $0.229 | $19.25 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 34.42 | $0.581 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.609 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 22.27 | $0.898 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.15 | $0.583 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.04 | $0.712 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | sell | 11.36 | $0.990 | $11.25 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 43.47 | $0.065 | $2.81 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | sell | 6.17 | $0.950 | $5.86 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | sell | 28.09 | $0.980 | $27.53 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 36.76 | $0.680 | $25 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 216.22 | $0.925 | $200 | May 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 38.96 | $0.770 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 304.88 | $0.984 | $300 | May 3, 2026 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 70.56 | $0.425 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.78 | $0.568 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 304.26 | $0.986 | $300 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 104.1 | $0.961 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?Yes | buy | 41.51 | $0.723 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.975 | $300 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.29 | $0.760 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | sell | 1.39 | $0.621 | $0.86 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.38 | $0.709 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown | sell | 1.12 | $0.991 | $1.11 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | sell | 1.33 | $0.851 | $1.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.33 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | buy | 3.73 | $0.520 | $1.94 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.810 | $1.98 | Mar 8, 2026 |