Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.050 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 44 |
| $0.650 |
| $28.6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.254 | $4.06 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.250 | $16 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.140 | $7.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.150 | $8.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.350 | $14.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.380 | $14.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 39 | $0.920 | $35.88 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.144 | $5.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.87 | $0.450 | $10.74 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.130 | $2.34 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.130 | $7.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.022 | $1.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.670 | $26.13 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 22.12 | $0.310 | $6.86 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.310 | $15.81 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.963 | $37.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.015 | $1.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.015 | $0.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.810 | $29.97 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.167 | $6.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.813 | $39.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.819 | $40.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.290 | $1.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.790 | $40.29 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.790 | $36.34 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.216 | $4.54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.220 | $8.36 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.043 | $3.35 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.310 | $26.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.530 | $36.57 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.984 | $41.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.986 | $41.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.033 | $1.42 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.043 | $3.35 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.020 | $0.36 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.020 | $1.7 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.920 | $42.32 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.913 | $42 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.042 | $0.21 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.042 | $1.13 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 41 | $0.420 | $17.22 | May 27, 2026 |