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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.62 | $0.779 | $9.53 | +$2.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.140 |
| $8.05 |
| +$6.65 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.470 | $7.04 | +$2.35 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 7.85 | $0.727 | $6.97 | +$1.26 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 7.88 | $0.255 | $6.9 | +$4.89 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 8.25 | $0.542 | $6.89 | +$2.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 18.33 | $0.284 | $5.04 | -$0.16 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 16.59 | $0.420 | $4.89 | -$2.08 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.68 | +$0.63 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.33 | $0.411 | $4.42 | -$2.71 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.370 | $4.28 | +$2.43 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.620 | $4.25 | +$1.15 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3.36 | +$0.36 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 19.98 | $0.397 | $2.9 | -$5.04 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? | No | 5 | $0.570 | $2.42 | -$0.43 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 59.92 | $0.122 | $1.71 | -$5.58 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 8.23 | $0.508 | $1.28 | -$2.9 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34.83 | $0.029 | $0.19 | -$0.82 |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 14.01 | $0.044 | $0.04 | -$0.57 |
| buy |
| 2.46 |
| $0.780 |
| $1.92 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.820 | $1.74 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.041 | $0.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.063 | $0.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 14.94 | $0.085 | $1.27 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.460 | $1.08 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.530 | $1.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.260 | $1.01 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.95 | $0.550 | $2.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.470 | $4.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.520 | $1.68 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.390 | $1.57 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.410 | $2.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.780 | $2.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.300 | $2.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.307 | $3.07 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.120 | $1.79 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.120 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.360 | $1.32 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.980 | $1.19 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.180 | $6.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |