Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 90K | $0.750 | $67.5K | Jul 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.990 |
| $4.95 |
| Jul 28, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.990 | $2.02K | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.960 | $120.96 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 6.79K | $0.410 | $2.78K | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.410 | $410 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 3.19K | $0.280 | $892.72 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 474 | $0.750 | $355.5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 474 | $0.335 | $158.87 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 2.07K | $0.433 | $899.12 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 454 | $0.740 | $335.96 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 30.24K | $0.740 | $22.38K | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 3.67K | $0.785 | $2.88K | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 35 | $0.983 | $34.41 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 20K | $0.983 | $19.66K | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 953.38 | $0.978 | $932.41 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 7.69K | $0.670 | $5.15K | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.89K | $0.060 | $773.21 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.060 | $600 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 2.96K | $0.120 | $355.76 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No | buy | 576 | $0.500 | $288 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | buy | 636.66 | $0.530 | $337.43 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 855.62 | $0.290 | $248.13 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 3.97K | $0.280 | $1.11K | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.026 | $1.79 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 482.79 | $0.133 | $64.21 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 4.27K | $0.881 | $3.77K | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.738 | $876.65 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 219.23 | $0.738 | $161.79 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 514.95 | $0.737 | $379.52 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.42K | $0.738 | $4K | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 10K | $0.981 | $9.81K | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 45K | $0.981 | $44.15K | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 5K | $0.981 | $4.91K | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 20K | $0.980 | $19.6K | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 21.9K | $0.978 | $21.41K | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 20K | $0.978 | $19.56K | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 653.53 | $0.770 | $503.22 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 37.21K | $0.966 | $35.95K | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 10K | $0.965 | $9.65K | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 3.64K | $0.964 | $3.51K | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.677 | $1.06K | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.680 | $1.99K | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 255.11 | $0.919 | $234.45 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 16.22K | $0.990 | $16.07K | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?No | sell | 564.45 | $0.880 | $496.72 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?No | sell | 390 | $0.998 | $389.22 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.995 | $1.01K | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 7.01K | $0.985 | $6.91K | Jun 26, 2025 |