Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.66 | $0.320 | $16.85 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 16.39 |
| $0.610 |
| $10 |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.24 | $0.231 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | buy | 128.18 | $0.156 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 43.71 | $0.572 | $25 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 85.11 | $0.235 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 39.59 | $0.740 | $29.3 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 68.13 | $0.600 | $40.88 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 92.35 | $0.141 | $13 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 29.3 | $0.600 | $17.58 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | sell | 58.41 | $0.301 | $17.58 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 113.88 | $0.183 | $20.84 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | buy | 58.42 | $0.394 | $23 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Austria win?Yes | buy | 15.11 | $0.066 | $1 | Jun 17, 2024 |
 Will RN receive over 31% of votes?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.780 | $10.06 | Jun 8, 2024 |
| Will RN receive over 31% of votes?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jun 8, 2024 |
 Will FdI receive more than 27% of votes?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.540 | $25 | Jun 8, 2024 |
 Will the AfD receive more than 16% of votes?Yes | buy | 50.25 | $0.398 | $20 | Jun 8, 2024 |
 Will the EPP win 160-169 seats in the European Parliament?Yes | buy | 38.45 | $0.650 | $25 | Jun 8, 2024 |
 Will another country win Eurovision 2024?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | May 3, 2024 |
| Will another country win Eurovision 2024?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.100 | $49 | May 3, 2024 |
 Sex tapes at Diddy's property confirmed by April 15?Yes | buy | 257.14 | $0.062 | $16 | Mar 28, 2024 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Mar 21, 2024 |
 Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Mar 21, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 65.34 | $0.459 | $30 | Mar 20, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Mar 20, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $70,000 on Friday?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | Mar 18, 2024 |
 BTC above $70,000 next friday?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Mar 10, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before April?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Mar 9, 2024 |
| BTC above $70,000 next friday?No | buy | 50.33 | $0.596 | $30 | Mar 9, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Feb 7, 2024 |
 Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 5, 2024 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 280.9 | $0.089 | $25 | Feb 5, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Feb 5, 2024 |
 Any Hamas leader out in January?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jan 4, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January?Yes | buy | 150.68 | $0.730 | $110 | Dec 28, 2023 |
 Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Dec 1, 2023 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Dec 1, 2023 |
 Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?No | buy | 96.67 | $0.300 | $29 | Nov 28, 2023 |