Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 394.85 |
| $0.006 |
| $2.37 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 79.91 | $0.050 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 59.57 | $0.070 | $4.17 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 96.31 | $0.103 | $9.96 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETUp | buy | 99.6 | $0.100 | $9.96 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 49.8 | $0.100 | $4.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 82.87 | $0.120 | $9.94 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.080 | $44 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 59.93 | $0.050 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 454.21 | $0.006 | $2.73 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 199.99 | $0.010 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 136.76 | $0.015 | $2.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 83.2 | $0.060 | $4.99 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 324.16 | $0.016 | $5.19 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 171.84 | $0.088 | $15.11 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 144.92 | $0.053 | $7.69 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.100 | $9 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.130 | $9.28 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.016 | $2.91 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 468.75 | $0.032 | $15 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 82.85 | $0.121 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.112 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.069 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 394.86 | $0.010 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 136.77 | $0.022 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.016 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 324.17 | $0.022 | $7 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 246.78 | $0.020 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 346.86 | $0.012 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 454.21 | $0.009 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.011 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 474.34 | $0.006 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Yes | sell | 210.7 | $0.004 | $0.92 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 139.19 | $0.011 | $1.53 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.016 | $16 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.080 | $8.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 128.48 | $0.058 | $7.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.015 | $8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 286.34 | $0.029 | $8.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?No | buy | 667.59 | $0.006 | $4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.023 | $3.83 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.070 | $4.38 | Jan 31, 2026 |