Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 200 | $0.961 | $195.3 | +$3.15 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.930 |
| $97.6 |
| +$4.6 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 100.09 | $0.930 | $97.44 | +$4.39 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.962 | $49.18 | +$1.08 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.910 | $46.74 | +$1.25 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.920 | $29.12 | +$1.52 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.890 | $4.82 | +$0.37 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 3.18 | $0.860 | $2.91 | +$0.17 |
| buy |
| 14 |
| $0.840 |
| $11.76 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 24.53 | $0.240 | $5.89 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.984 | $49.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 24.53 | $0.450 | $11.04 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.962 | $48.1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.975 | $35.1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.965 | $6.27 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 130 | $0.960 | $124.8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Nike say "Tariff" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?No | buy | 50 | $0.957 | $47.85 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?No | buy | 3.89 | $0.980 | $3.81 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.976 | $48.8 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 30 | $0.948 | $28.44 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.770 | $12.32 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.871 | $8.71 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.835 | $41.75 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.920 | $55.19 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.963 | $48.15 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.968 | $48.4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Harry Kane sign with a new club during the transfer window?No | buy | 50 | $0.968 | $48.39 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 142.2 | $0.940 | $133.67 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 100 | $0.957 | $95.7 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | May 31, 2025 |
 Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?No | sell | 2.51 | $0.901 | $2.26 | May 31, 2025 |
 US-EU trade deal before June?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | May 27, 2025 |
 Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.973 | $48.65 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | May 11, 2025 |
 East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.47 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | May 5, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | May 1, 2025 |