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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.75K | $0.783 | $6.63K | +$560.87 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.060 | $0 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.15K |
| $0.680 |
| $956.96 |
| -$505.33 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.25K | $0.645 | $580.55 | -$224.77 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.224 | $354.65 | -$194.35 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.95K | $0.048 | $262.68 | +$72.39 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.238 | $207.67 | -$74.78 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.11K | $0.083 | $202.36 | -$55.47 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 223.5 | $0.754 | $179.14 | +$10.58 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 179.58 | $0.690 | $169.7 | +$45.79 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.72K | $0.102 | $168.52 | -$7.51 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.51K | $0.156 | $163.05 | -$229.03 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.44K | $0.008 | $123.31 | -$8.21 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 221.99 | $0.510 | $105.45 | -$7.77 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 221.77 | $0.340 | $98.69 | +$23.29 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 369.72 | $0.200 | $61 | -$12.94 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.65K | $0.028 | $57.09 | +$10.47 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 85.81 | $0.685 | $46.77 | -$12.06 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.31K | $0.019 | $32.15 | +$6.45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 27.12 | $0.540 | $21.83 | +$7.19 |
 Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | No | 33.77 | $0.630 | $20.77 | -$0.51 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 19.39 | $0.790 | $16.77 | +$1.45 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128.54 | $0.150 | $16.07 | -$3.21 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 7.92 | $0.840 | $7.25 | +$0.59 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 415.78 | $0.024 | $6.86 | -$3.32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 88.03 | $0.081 | $6.6 | -$0.56 |
| buy |
| 92.34 |
| $0.070 |
| $6.46 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 149.05 | $0.050 | $7.45 | 3d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 149.05 | $0.060 | $8.94 | 3d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.06 | $0.060 | $0.24 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.86 | $0.060 | $0.29 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.070 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.84 | $0.070 | $0.76 | 4d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 415.78 | $0.024 | $10.18 | 5d ago |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 35.64 | $0.367 | $13.07 | 5d ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 43.5 | $0.350 | $15.23 | 6d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | 6d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 166.65 | $0.050 | $8.33 | 6d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 166.65 | $0.060 | $10 | 6d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 10 | $0.789 | $7.89 | 6d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 94.79 | $0.141 | $13.37 | 6d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 94.79 | $0.145 | $13.74 | 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.26 | $0.920 | $13.12 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.26 | $0.930 | $13.26 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.48 | $0.190 | $5.79 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.51 | $0.150 | $6.53 | 7d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 43.13 | $0.111 | $4.77 | 7d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.13 | $0.160 | $6.9 | 7d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.111 | $5.55 | 7d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.789 | $9.34 | 8d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 691.9 | $0.103 | $71.27 | 8d ago |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.820 | $10.25 | 8d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.830 | $10.38 | 8d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 160.19 | $0.225 | $36.04 | 9d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 160.2 | $0.226 | $36.21 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.853 | $1.07K | 9d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 31.84 | $0.820 | $26.11 | 9d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 24.08 | $0.830 | $19.99 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.667 | $125.13 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.730 | $136.88 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.140 | $175 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.18 | $0.700 | $7.83 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.18 | $0.710 | $7.94 | 9d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 350.6 | $0.253 | $88.7 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 350.54 | $0.253 | $88.69 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.253 | $0.04 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.253 | $0.02 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.253 | $0.7 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.253 | $0.18 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 13.55 | $0.253 | $3.43 | 10d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.253 | $0.02 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.74 | $0.700 | $7.52 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.710 | $7.63 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.06 | $0.700 | $14.74 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.06 | $0.710 | $14.95 | 10d ago |