Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 7.65K | $0.959 | $7.36K | +$22.65 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 4m ago |
 |
| No |
| 6.56K |
| $0.917 |
| $6.24K |
| +$218.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.2K | $0.828 | $2.13K | +$310.91 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.5K | $0.875 | $1.48K | +$164.5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.52K | $0.888 | $1.45K | +$101.43 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 1.25K | $0.870 | $1.22K | +$132 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.846 | $1.06K | +$101.57 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.11K | $0.841 | $1.05K | +$116 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.928 | $1.04K | +$18.5 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 967.46 | $0.941 | $944.24 | +$33.54 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 642 | $0.937 | $639.75 | +$38.07 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.828 | $543 | +$46 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 528.54 | $0.888 | $518.76 | +$49.48 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.860 | $437.5 | +$7.5 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.945 | $386 | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $297.75 | +$27.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.723 | $255 | +$38 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 330.48 | $0.894 | $252.81 | -$42.68 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 199.99 | $0.965 | $190.99 | -$2 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $177 | +$5 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.959 | $96.15 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.940 | $93.5 | -$0.5 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $93.5 | +$2.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 100 | $0.480 | $60.5 | +$12.5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.720 | $59.5 | -$12.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.480 |
| $48 |
| 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.962 | $2.26K | 4d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 195.69 | $0.999 | $195.49 | 4d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 195.7 | $0.925 | $181 | 9d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 182 | $0.994 | $180.94 | 9d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 287.49 | $0.500 | $143.75 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.490 | $147 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.880 | $924 | 12d ago |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.920 | $925.17 | 12d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.973 | $155.68 | 14d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.844 | $84.4 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.566 | $56.6 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?No | buy | 200 | $0.948 | $189.6 | 16d ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.950 | $380 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.967 | $1.93K | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.870 | $435 | 16d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 29.96 | $0.320 | $9.59 | 21d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.720 | $27.43 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 157.66 | $0.860 | $135.59 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.720 | $216 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.940 | $470 | 21d ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No | buy | 56.74 | $0.984 | $55.81 | 21d ago |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.07 | 21d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.962 | $96.2 | 22d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.962 | $96.2 | 22d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 22d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.332 | $33.19 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 22d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | 22d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 22d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 22d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 180 | $0.930 | $167.4 | 27d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 900 | $0.850 | $765 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 660 | $0.710 | $468.6 | 28d ago |