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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.11 | $0.650 | $22.17 | 20h ago |
|
| buy |
| 10.8 |
| $0.500 |
| $5.4 |
| 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.510 | $5.4 | 6d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.330 | $5.5 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.73 | $0.440 | $5.6 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.93 | $0.490 | $3.89 | 13d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 57.66 | $0.080 | $4.61 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.190 | $6 | 26d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.560 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.22 | $0.750 | $3.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | sell | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.560 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown | sell | 5.8 | $0.770 | $4.47 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.64 | $0.580 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.22 | $0.750 | $3.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.11 | $0.720 | $2.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.74 | $0.690 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | sell | 5.9 | $0.720 | $4.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 5.73 | $0.570 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 5.62 | $0.810 | $4.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.47 | $0.600 | $3.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.27 | $0.790 | $3.37 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.74 | $0.690 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | sell | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.64 | $0.580 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.560 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | sell | 14.48 | $0.844 | $12.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.95 | $0.752 | $2.97 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.18 | $0.610 | $3.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | sell | 6.58 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 6.34 | $0.510 | $3.23 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 4.86 | $0.760 | $3.69 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.74 | $0.690 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 6 | $0.690 | $4.14 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.560 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 4.67 | $0.700 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.02 | $0.540 | $3.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | sell | 18.2 | $0.875 | $15.93 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.22 | $0.750 | $3.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.87 | $0.770 | $2.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.67 | $0.700 | $3.27 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.03 | $0.630 | $3.17 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | sell | 5.9 | $0.720 | $4.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.73 | $0.570 | $3.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.42 | $0.760 | $3.36 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.31 | $0.580 | $3.08 | Apr 12, 2026 |