Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.240 | $30.75 | -$5.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.140 | $14 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.110 |
| $8.5 |
| -$2.5 |
| sell |
| 599.99 |
| $0.240 |
| $144 |
| 5d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.110 | $11 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | buy | 47.32 | $0.041 | $1.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.024 | $0.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.540 | $11.37 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.240 | $1.75 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 154.32 | $0.782 | $120.67 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 45.68 | $0.790 | $36.09 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 212.25 | $0.942 | $200 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | sell | 300 | $0.863 | $258.92 | May 21, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.944 | $188.8 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | buy | 11.5 | $0.920 | $10.58 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | May 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo | buy | 4.39 | $0.830 | $3.64 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No | buy | 58.18 | $0.800 | $46.54 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | May 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | May 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | May 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | sell | 187.24 | $0.516 | $96.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.170 | $68 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.620 | $39.06 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.262 | $52.36 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.999 | $99.89 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 193 | $0.920 | $177.56 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.025 | $1.37 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.720 | $25.92 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 89.78 | $0.430 | $38.61 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.760 | $27.36 | Nov 24, 2025 |