Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 117.3K | $0.003 | $351.91 | Mar 11, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.33K |
| $0.003 |
| $10 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 22.75K | $0.005 | $113.73 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 64.68K | $0.003 | $194.05 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 48.51K | $0.004 | $194.04 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 38.98K | $0.005 | $194.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 59.55K | $0.002 | $119.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.015 | $17.66 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 6.91K | $0.014 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 364.29 | $0.027 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.031 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.037 | $37.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.324 | $8.53 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.636 | $10.1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 30.77 | $0.620 | $19.08 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.037 | $65.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 625 | $0.016 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 476.19 | $0.021 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Mamdani say "Wall Street" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?No | buy | 186.67 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Mamdani say "DOJ" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Mamdani say "Commissioner" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Mamdani say "Spring" or "Summer" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?Yes | buy | 10.66 | $0.094 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Mamdani say "Budget" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 52.25 | $0.038 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.370 | $16.82 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Yes | sell | 107.65 | $0.680 | $73.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Yes | sell | 107.65 | $0.520 | $55.98 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Yes | buy | 215.31 | $0.418 | $90 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?No | buy | 59.97K | $0.001 | $59.97 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?No | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 144.29 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 939.59 | $0.006 | $6.11 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 480.02 | $0.030 | $14.55 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.026 | $49.55 | Jan 28, 2026 |