Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.82 | $0.730 | $0.79 | +$0.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.018 | $0.02 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.98 |
| $0.720 |
| $0.62 |
| -$0.08 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 0.95 | $0.240 | $0.43 | +$0.2 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.280 | $0.43 | +$0.29 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.540 | $0.33 | +$0.07 |
 Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | No | 0.5 | $0.490 | $0.25 | +$0.01 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.280 | $0.21 | +$0.06 |
 Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.47 | $0.340 | $0.03 | -$0.13 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.460 | $0.03 | -$0.21 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.22 | $0.410 | $0.02 | -$0.07 |
 Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 40 | $0.385 | $0.02 | -$15.38 |
 Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 4.96 | $0.390 | $0.01 | -$1.92 |
| sell |
| 1.81 |
| $0.420 |
| $0.76 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 2 | $0.510 | $1.02 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.051 | $0.26 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.081 | $0.81 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.093 | $1.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.8 | $0.029 | $0.43 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | sell | 17.5 | $0.029 | $0.51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 18.97 | $0.070 | $1.33 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.39 | $0.148 | $2.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 22.23 | $0.040 | $0.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.34 | $0.050 | $1.37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.11 | $0.022 | $0.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?Yes | sell | 116.52 | $0.011 | $1.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.250 | $0.31 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.210 | $0.32 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.510 | $0.89 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.190 | $0.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 4.79 | $0.270 | $1.29 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 4.8 | $0.710 | $3.41 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.88 | $0.962 | $4.69 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.110 | $0.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.140 | $0.84 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 14.89 | $0.430 | $6.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No | sell | 15.83 | $0.480 | $7.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?Yes | sell | 12.2 | $0.190 | $2.32 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?No | sell | 20 | $0.634 | $12.68 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.190 | $0.12 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No | sell | 20.98 | $0.720 | $15.11 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?No | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | sell | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No | sell | 40 | $0.550 | $22 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?No | sell | 48.63 | $0.620 | $30.15 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jul 18, 2026 |