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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the State of the Union begin before 9PM ET?Yes | buy | 161.76 | $0.017 | $2.75 | Feb 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.8 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 49.96 | $0.040 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 11.65 | $0.170 | $1.98 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 43.71 | $0.023 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in February?Yes | buy | 69.22 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Portugal record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 187.78 | $0.008 | $1.52 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETDown | buy | 139.84 | $0.050 | $6.99 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 82.82 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 66.64 | $0.030 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.99 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 49.96 | $0.040 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETDown | buy | 11.85 | $0.084 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 109.22 | $0.091 | $9.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?No | buy | 73.88 | $0.027 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 52.56 | $0.114 | $5.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 30.38 | $0.290 | $8.81 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.007 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 297.67 | $0.039 | $11.5 | Feb 13, 2026 |