Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $6 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.926 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 31.41 | $0.987 | $31 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.993 | $15.84 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberYes | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.933 | $4 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $118K on September 5?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk by July 31?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before July?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | May 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will ETH hard fork before May?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Trump meets with Carney in March?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Lily Phillips break Bonnie Blue's 24hr sex record before April?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump ban federal workers from editing Wikipedia?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Mar 30, 2025 |