Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 235.81 | $0.980 | $231.09 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 499.99 |
| $0.780 |
| $389.99 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro out by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.410 | $410 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.570 | $570 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 444.2 | $0.997 | $442.87 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 444.2 | $0.968 | $430 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 523.04 | $0.942 | $492.7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.741 | $296.22 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 423.28 | $0.945 | $400 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 431.81 | $0.030 | $13 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 428.68 | $0.128 | $55 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | buy | 770.59 | $0.649 | $500 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 323.05 | $0.929 | $300 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.975 | $1.07K | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 149.55 | $0.019 | $2.84 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 300.68 | $0.064 | $19.12 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.369 | $147.51 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.518 | $207.37 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | buy | 237.82 | $0.841 | $200 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11?No | sell | 1K | $0.475 | $475 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.908 | $1K | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?No | buy | 88.89 | $0.900 | $80 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?No | buy | 206.6 | $0.968 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?No | buy | 205.48 | $0.973 | $200 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11?No | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 11?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.320 | $160 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 11?No | buy | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?No | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 119.23 | $0.520 | $62 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crazy" or "Kamala" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.750 | $72 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 106.45 | $0.310 | $33 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden 7+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | buy | 108.93 | $0.918 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 520.83 | $0.833 | $433.97 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.999 | $1.5K | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.984 | $983.89 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.740 | $222 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 500 | $0.983 | $491.53 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.988 | $1K | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 526.31 | $0.940 | $494.73 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 782.83 | $0.990 | $775 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Christmas" 8+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | sell | 48.61 | $0.680 | $33.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thank" 10+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | buy | 63.54 | $0.787 | $50 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Christmas" 8+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | buy | 48.61 | $0.720 | $35 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" or "Jesus" 5+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Yes | buy | 66.8 | $0.749 | $50 | Dec 4, 2025 |