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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?Yes | buy | 161.12 | $0.031 | $5 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10 |
| Sep 5, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 89.61 | $0.999 | $89.52 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 57.01 | $0.920 | $52.45 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.870 | $20.46 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 80.98 | $0.385 | $31.18 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 37.13 | $0.404 | $15 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 43.86 | $0.456 | $20 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "border" 5 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.480 | $33.6 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | buy | 93 | $0.960 | $89.28 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "not going back" at debate?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Aug 28, 2024 |