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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 400 | $0.979 | $396.6 | +$5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 220.98 | $0.988 | $218.33 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.940 |
| $280.5 |
| -$1.5 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by September 30? | No | 210 | $0.911 | $206.22 | +$14.82 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.960 | $193.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | Yes | 200 | $0.955 | $192 | +$1 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30? | No | 179.97 | $0.960 | $179.25 | +$6.48 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 154.26 | $0.843 | $136.52 | +$6.52 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31? | No | 136.29 | $0.747 | $94.72 | -$7.1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5K | $0.016 | $67.5 | -$12.5 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.024 | $43.43 | +$13.68 |
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5K | $0.009 | $22.5 | -$22.5 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.950 | $19.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 779.4 | $0.149 | $16.76 | -$99.39 |
 Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.005 | $15 | -$35 |
 Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? | Yes | 130 | $0.160 | $13.65 | -$7.15 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 654.98 | $0.006 | $0.33 | -$3.6 |
| buy |
| 200.59 |
| $0.940 |
| $188.55 |
| 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | 7d ago |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?No | buy | 58.49 | $0.996 | $58.26 | 8d ago |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?No | buy | 179.97 | $0.960 | $172.77 | 8d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by September 30?No | buy | 210 | $0.911 | $191.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | 8d ago |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $450B by August 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.992 | $109.12 | 8d ago |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $725B by August 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.997 | $109.67 | 8d ago |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by August 31?No | buy | 225.26 | $0.999 | $224.93 | 8d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by August 31?No | buy | 228.71 | $0.999 | $228.48 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?No | buy | 80.24 | $0.997 | $80 | 8d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by August 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | 8d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by August 31?No | buy | 130 | $0.999 | $129.87 | 8d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by August 31?No | buy | 230 | $0.999 | $229.67 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 8d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 8d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 400 | $0.979 | $391.6 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 186.77 | $0.993 | $185.4 | 11d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.46 | $0.969 | $35.33 | 11d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?Yes | buy | 268.35 | $0.937 | $251.44 | 17d ago |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 33.34 | $0.970 | $32.34 | 18d ago |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 175.92 | $0.984 | $173.11 | 18d ago |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.18 | $0.992 | $104.34 | 18d ago |
 Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.57 | $0.994 | $69.15 | 18d ago |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.996 | $149.4 | 18d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.995 | $298.5 | 18d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.993 | $198.6 | 18d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | 18d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.929 | $74.32 | 18d ago |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?No | buy | 113.14 | $0.744 | $84.23 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 351 | $0.974 | $341.87 | 24d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 86.7 | $0.977 | $84.71 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 779.4 | $0.149 | $116.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.024 | $29.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.016 | $56 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.016 | $24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 0.35 | $0.840 | $0.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | sell | 639.65 | $0.754 | $482.47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 640 | $0.360 | $230.48 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.998 | $199.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 211 | $0.998 | $210.58 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | sell | 216.53 | $0.999 | $216.31 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |