Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 23.07 | $0.847 | $22.37 | +$2.82 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.650 |
| $14.7 |
| +$1.7 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $8.75 | +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 2.33 | $0.430 | $2.32 | +$1.32 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.870 |
| $8.7 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Chiefs vs. RaidersRaiders | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Canadiens vs. StarsCanadiens | sell | 6.53 | $0.700 | $4.57 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. StarsCanadiens | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Tesla reach $503 in December?Yes | buy | 4.27 | $0.468 | $2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 204.46 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.92 | $0.963 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $445-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?No | buy | 24.77 | $0.848 | $21 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?Yes | buy | 24.48 | $0.817 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 481.72 | $0.010 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 220.91 | $0.023 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |