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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.91 | +$0.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 7h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.7 |
| +$0.7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 2.11 | $0.540 | $1.64 | +$0.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.92 | $0.510 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.540 | $1.14 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 4d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 5d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?Up | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 18d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Meta (META) close at $550-$560 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.430 | $1.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |