Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.961 | $0.97 | 10d ago |
|
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| 10d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.450 | $0.59 | 10d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.988 | $1.12 | 11d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.984 | $1.05 | 29d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.997 | $1.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.992 | $1.02 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.989 | $1.1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.820 | $1.32 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.982 | $1.28 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.973 | $1.04 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.987 | $1.08 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Gaza | sell | 0.33 | $0.810 | $0.27 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?Gaza | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.719 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.230 | $1.31 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.520 | $0.57 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.390 | $0.78 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 25.39 | $0.061 | $1.55 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.994 | $1.15 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Megaquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | sell | 8.55 | $0.019 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.009 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |