Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 224.75 | $0.348 | $26.97 | -$51.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 82.71 |
| $0.483 |
| $18.61 |
| -$21.39 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 16.02 | $0.624 | $15.44 | +$5.44 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? | Yes | 276.33 | $0.607 | $11.05 | -$156.68 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 148.65 | $0.740 | $4.83 | -$105.17 |
 Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | No | 56.79 | $0.176 | $4.29 | -$5.71 |
 Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 28.41 | $0.176 | $0.82 | -$4.18 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.19 | -$4.81 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 168.37 | $0.030 | $0.08 | -$4.92 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.210 | $0.08 | -$4.92 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 56.74 | $0.088 | $0.03 | -$4.97 |
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $3 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes | sell | 29.42 | $0.272 | $8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?No | buy | 40.84 | $0.390 | $15.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 203.28 | $0.492 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 503.5 | $0.397 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.904 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.999 | $6.92 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | buy | 60.44 | $0.331 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.186 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 168.37 | $0.030 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 16.02 | $0.624 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 148.65 | $0.740 | $110 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Yes | buy | 40.9 | $0.122 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 56.74 | $0.088 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No | buy | 56.79 | $0.176 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.346 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Stanley Leavell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Yes | buy | 67.38 | $0.074 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes | buy | 29.43 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 13.72 | $0.364 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Yes | buy | 28.41 | $0.176 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Marcelo Rozo win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.294 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 540.54 | $0.496 | $267.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will another company be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 207.79 | $0.240 | $49.87 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.45 | $0.240 | $49.87 | Feb 26, 2026 |