Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 49.57 | $0.495 | $41.47 | +$16.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.320 | $1.7 | 14d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 24.06 |
| $0.660 |
| $20.4 |
| +$4.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 12.73 | $0.780 | $11.78 | +$1.85 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 10.18 | $0.950 | $9.67 | $0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7.19 | $0.680 | $6.08 | +$1.19 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 5.09 | $0.966 | $5.05 | +$0.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.14 | $0.830 | $4.95 | +$0.68 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5.1 | $0.860 | $4.86 | +$0.48 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.13 | $0.720 | $4.85 | +$1.15 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | No | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4.77 | +$0.77 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.12 | $0.860 | $4.68 | +$0.28 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 5.11 | $0.800 | $4.68 | +$0.59 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.16 | $0.560 | $4.62 | +$1.73 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 5.15 | $0.600 | $4.27 | +$1.18 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 24.83 | $0.573 | $3.23 | -$10.99 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 5.32 | $0.320 | $1.94 | +$0.24 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 5.22 | $0.480 | $1.59 | -$0.91 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 1.37 | $0.860 | $1.27 | +$0.1 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5.16 | $0.580 | $1.24 | -$1.75 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 5.2 | $0.520 | $1.12 | -$1.59 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.58 | $0.320 | $1.11 | -$2.27 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 5.2 | $0.520 | $0.96 | -$1.74 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 5.33 | $0.310 | $0.59 | -$1.07 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 5.33 | $0.310 | $0.51 | -$1.15 |
| sell |
| 5.24 |
| $0.520 |
| $2.72 |
| 22d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.080 | $0.42 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.69 | $0.120 | $1.04 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.480 | $2.51 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.910 | $4.65 | 26d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 5.14 | $0.820 | $4.21 | 28d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.950 | $4.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.966 | $4.92 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.950 | $4.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.710 | $3.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 5.16 | $0.830 | $4.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.48 | $0.310 | $1.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.380 | $1.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.740 | $3.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.21 | $0.600 | $3.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.210 | $1.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.870 | $4.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.650 | $3.35 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.430 | $2.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.15 | $0.240 | $1.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.880 | $4.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.260 | $0 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.240 | $1.37 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.880 | $4.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.340 | $1.79 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.510 | $2.65 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.500 | $2.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.500 | $2.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.570 | $2.94 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.500 | $2.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.500 | $2.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.330 | $1.75 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.300 | $1.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.310 | $1.65 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.310 | $1.65 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.300 | $1.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.280 | $1.49 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.170 | $0.97 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.490 | $2.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.160 | $1.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.580 | $2.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.900 | $4.64 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.800 | $4.09 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.720 | $3.69 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.760 | $3.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.030 | $0.55 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.14 | $0.760 | $3.91 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.150 | $1.75 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.050 | $0.91 | Jul 8, 2026 |