Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10K | $0.990 | $9.95K | +$45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.710 | $42.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.996 |
| $2.99K |
| +$1.5 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1K | $0.919 | $922 | +$3 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 500 | $0.520 | $412.5 | +$152.5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.465 | $409.99 | -$519.99 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $95.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.048 | $63 | +$15 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 300 | $0.178 | $53.85 | +$0.45 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.023 | $53 | +$6 |
 Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | Yes | 70.75 | $0.257 | $9.55 | -$8.6 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.005 | $6.5 | +$1.5 |
| buy |
| 90 |
| $0.750 |
| $67.5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 140 | $0.750 | $105 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.750 | $2.25K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 800 | $0.920 | $736 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 3.23K | $0.800 | $2.58K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.150 | $3.45 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.590 | $472 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 499.98 | $0.840 | $419.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsT1 | buy | 999 | $0.860 | $859.14 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | sell | 899.98 | $0.004 | $3.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?Yes | sell | 113.76 | $0.003 | $0.34 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?Yes | sell | 278.02 | $0.008 | $2.22 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.012 | $1.45 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.013 | $1.04 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.014 | $0.63 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | sell | 447 | $0.009 | $4.02 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.120 | $5.64 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.779 | $70.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 196.11 | $0.745 | $146.12 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.870 | $6.79 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 30.58 | $0.840 | $25.68 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 8.64 | $0.830 | $7.17 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.913 | $91.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.110 | $12.1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 4K | $0.969 | $3.88K | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 743.92 | $0.999 | $743.18 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes | sell | 72.64 | $0.026 | $1.88 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.880 | $5.08 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 151.28 | $0.985 | $148.95 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 28 | $0.860 | $24.08 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.930 | $6.37 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?Yes | sell | 11.81 | $0.005 | $0.06 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.992 | $15.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 2.93 | $0.989 | $2.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsTrail Blazers | sell | 250 | $0.012 | $2.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.930 | $36.27 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.930 | $102.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.919 | $45.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.919 | $36.76 | Jan 14, 2026 |