Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6.59 | +$0.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.33 |
| $0.450 |
| $6.47 |
| +$0.47 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 6.1 | $0.983 | $6.01 | +$0.01 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 18.33 | $0.545 | $2.75 | -$7.25 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $2.42 | -$2.58 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 78.93 | $0.076 | $2.01 | -$3.99 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $0.96 | -$4.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.170 | $0.91 | -$3.09 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 39.06 | $0.128 | $0.74 | -$4.26 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 44.57 | $0.022 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 4.98 |
| $0.402 |
| $2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.142 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?Yes | buy | 21.7 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 93.46 | $0.107 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.072 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.111 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.93 | $0.076 | $6 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.720 | $6 | May 6, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.189 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 23?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.180 | $0.92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.410 | $0.94 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.330 | $0.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.8 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?Yes | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?Yes | buy | 171.34 | $0.005 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.007 | $1.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 72.36 | $0.025 | $1.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 29.86 | $0.061 | $1.81 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 128.77 | $0.014 | $1.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 15?Yes | buy | 48.67 | $0.019 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or higher on April 15?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?Yes | buy | 236.88 | $0.004 | $0.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.110 | $0.87 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Over $4M committed to the Fluent public sale?Yes | buy | 37.36 | $0.023 | $0.86 | Apr 13, 2026 |